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The Oilseed Corridor: Can Nampula Help Fill India's Cooking-Oil Gap?

On 2 October India's oil industry and the governor of Nampula signed up to explore an oilseed corridor through Nacala. India imports 16 million tonnes of vegetable oil a year; Mozambique sends it almost none. We run the numbers on what the deal could — and could not — achieve.

October 15, 2026Economic Intelligence · India–Africa Desk12 min read
At a glance
16.3mt
India's vegetable oil imports
2024-25 oil year
₹1.8lakh cr
India's import bill
About $21bn
200,000t
Mozambique sesame output
A year; top-8 producer
$0.28m
Oilseed exports to India
2025, vs $201m to China (2024)
46.5mt
India demand by 2047
SEA projection
In brief

A Mumbai handshake with a Nampula horizon

On 2 October 2026, on the sidelines of the Globoil India conference in Mumbai, the Solvent Extractors' Association of India (SEA) — the trade body of the companies that crush, refine and import most of India's cooking oil — signed a three-year Statement of Interest with the Government of Nampula Province. The goal: to study a sustainable oilseed and vegetable oil corridor running from the farms of northern Mozambique to the Port of Nacala and on to India.

16.3m tvegetable oil India imported in 2024-25
~60%of India's consumption met by imports
$0.28mMozambique's oilseed exports to India in 2025
3 yearsto test the corridor; Indian buyers visit Nampula in Q1 2027

The two sides are almost perfectly mismatched in size. India is the world's largest vegetable oil importer. Mozambique, despite millions of hectares of suitable land, sells India practically no oilseeds — and imports much of its own cooking oil. This article explains what was signed, why India is looking to Africa, what Mozambique actually grows today, and — using an interactive calculator — how big the corridor would need to be to matter to either country.

For India, a Nampula corridor is a hedge. For Mozambique, it could be an industry.
01 · What was signed

An exploratory deal, deliberately small

The agreement is a Statement of Interest, not a purchase contract. It commits no volumes and no money. What it creates is a process: a Joint Working Group, with each side nominating representatives within 15 days, to run feasibility studies on soil, transport, port capacity, market costs and environmental impact. An SEA member delegation is scheduled to visit Nampula in the first quarter of 2027 to inspect farmland, infrastructure and the Port of Nacala.

The signatories matter. SEA was represented by its president, Angshu Mallick, who is also executive deputy chairman of AWL Agri Business — one of India's largest edible oil companies. Nampula was represented by Governor Eduardo Mariamo Abdula. The development organisation Solidaridad, through its Asia and Southern Africa arms, joined as sustainability partner — a sign that both sides know land is the most sensitive word in this story.

Exhibit 1
The Statement of Interest, clause by clause
Signed2 October 2026, Globoil India conference, Mumbai
PartiesSolvent Extractors' Association of India (SEA) and the Government of Nampula Province
SignatoriesSEA president Angshu Mallick; Governor Eduardo Mariamo Abdula
PartnerSolidaridad (Asia and Southern Africa) for sustainability
Type and termExploratory Statement of Interest, three years
CropsGroundnut, soybean, sesame and oil palm
ScopeCommercial investment, local crushing and refining, traceable sourcing
Volumes or moneyNone committed
GovernanceJoint Working Group; members nominated within 15 days
StudiesSoil, transport, port capacity, market costs, environmental impact
SafeguardsSmallholder empowerment, land rights, water management; expansion only on degraded or converted land
Next milestoneSEA member delegation to Nampula and Nacala in Q1 2027

Source: Rural Voice (2 October 2026).

02 · The buyer

India's 16-million-tonne habit

India eats far more vegetable oil than it grows. In the 2024-25 oil year it imported more than 16 million tonnes, worth over ₹1.8 lakh crore (roughly $21bn), covering about 60% of domestic consumption. Almost all of it comes from a handful of countries: palm oil from Indonesia and Malaysia, soybean oil from Argentina and Brazil, and sunflower oil from Russia and Ukraine.

The mix is shifting. Palm oil, long the cheapest option, fell to about 7.6 million tonnes in 2024-25 while soybean oil climbed to a record 5.5 million tonnes. Each of those supply lines has a single point of failure — an Indonesian export levy, a Black Sea war, a drought in Argentina — and SEA projects national demand rising to 46.5 million tonnes by 2047.

Exhibit 2
What India imports: vegetable oil imports by type, 2024-25, million tonnes

Total of 16.3 million tonnes. 'Sunflower and other' is derived as the remainder (3.25 mt).

Source: Industry import data reported by Motilal Oswal (Nov 2025); SEA via Rural Voice (Oct 2026).

03 · Self-reliance, with help

Self-reliance at home, diversification abroad

New Delhi's main answer is domestic. The National Mission on Edible Oils – Oilseeds, approved in October 2024 with an outlay of ₹10,103 crore for 2024-25 to 2030-31, aims to raise primary oilseed output from 39 million tonnes to 69.7 million tonnes and domestic edible oil from 12.7 million to 20.2 million tonnes — cutting import dependence from about 57% to roughly 28%.

Even if the mission hits every target, India will still need to import millions of tonnes of oil a year, and demand keeps growing. That is the opening for diversification: new origins such as East Africa, closer to India's west-coast refineries than Latin America and politically friendlier than many alternatives. Nampula is the first Mozambican province to sign up formally.

Exhibit 3
India's National Mission on Edible Oils: where output is meant to be by 2030-31, million tonnes

Import dependence is targeted to fall from about 57% to about 28%.

Source: Government of India, Cabinet approval of NMEO-Oilseeds (Oct 2024), via Policy Circle.

04 · The seller

What Mozambique grows — and who buys it

Mozambique is already a significant oilseed producer, just not for India. The Cotton and Oilseeds Institute (IAOM) puts sesame output at about 200,000 tonnes a year, among the eight largest in the world; Sofala alone grows about a quarter of it. Total oilseed production was estimated at around 400,000 tonnes a year in 2022. Groundnut is grown by smallholders across the country, but at very low yields — about 355 kg per hectare in the last detailed FAO estimate, against more than 4,000 kg in the United States.

The buyer is China. Mozambique's oilseed exports to China were worth about $201m in 2024, mostly sesame. India, by contrast, imported only about $0.28m of Mozambican oilseeds in 2025. In other words, the corridor starts from almost zero.

There is a domestic twist too. Mozambique's refineries imported more than 1.3 million tonnes of crude cooking oil between 2015 and 2023, worth about $1.4bn — roughly 144,000 tonnes a year. Cooking oil imports cost around $320m in 2021 alone. Any oil crushed in Nampula has a hungry home market before it ever reaches India.

Exhibit 4
Mozambique's oilseeds go to China, not India: oilseed exports (HS 12), $ million

Latest available year for each partner. India's figure is $276,000.

Source: UN Comtrade via Trading Economics.

Exhibit 5
The four crops in the deal: how well does each fit?
Sesame~45–50%~200,000 t/yr; top-8 world producer; mostly exported to ChinaPremium oil and seed; existing trade channelsStrong
Groundnut~45–50%Widely grown by smallholders; yields ~0.36 t/haGroundnut oil and kernels; big yield upsidePromising
Soybean~18–20%Concentrated around Gurué and Niassa; feeds local poultryOil plus meal; competes with Mozambique's own feed demandPromising
Oil palmHighest oil per hectareBarely planted; would need years to matureOnly crop that could move India's import numbersLong shot

Oil contents are typical agronomic ranges. Corridor fit is an editorial judgement.

Source: IAOM (2025); FAOSTAT via Feed the Future Peanut Lab; Economic Intelligence analysis.

05 · Run the numbers

How big would the corridor need to be?

Scale is the crux. Even if every kilogram of Mozambique's current oilseed crop were crushed and shipped to India, it would yield roughly 160,000 tonnes of oil — about 1% of India's annual imports. The country's entire sesame crop would cover about 0.6%.

That does not make the corridor pointless; it changes who it matters to. A programme that put 100,000 hectares of groundnut under improved seed and practices — raising yields from about 0.36 to 1.5 tonnes a hectare — would produce around 67,500 tonnes of oil. That is a rounding error for India but nearly half of Mozambique's own yearly crude oil imports. Only oil palm, which yields several tonnes of oil per hectare, could move India's numbers — and it is barely planted in Mozambique today.

Use the calculator to test your own assumptions: choose an area, a yield and an oil content, and decide how much of the oil stays in Mozambique.

Exhibit 6
Build your own corridor: how much oil, and for whom?

Move the sliders or pick a crop preset. Yields are illustrative assumptions, not forecasts.

Seed harvested
150kt
Oil produced
67.5kt
Share of India's imports
0.21%
Oil shipped to India ÷ 16.3m t
Mozambique's own imports covered
23%
Oil kept at home ÷ 144 kt a year
Oil exported to India
33.8kt
Oilcake for feed
82.5kt
Approximate by-product
Source: Economic Intelligence model. India: 16.3m t imports (2024-25). Mozambique: 144 kt/yr crude oil imports (2015–2023 average).
Exhibit 7
Scale check: what each scenario would mean for India and for Mozambique
Dondo sesame plant at full capacity5024
0.15
17
50,000 t sesame; 48% oil
Mozambique's entire sesame crop20096
0.59
67
200,000 t sesame; 48% oil
All Mozambican oilseeds today400160
0.98
111
~400,000 t; 40% blended oil content
100,000 ha groundnut, today's yield35.516
0.1
11
0.355 t/ha; 45% oil
100,000 ha groundnut, improved yield15067.5
0.41
47
1.5 t/ha; 45% oil
100,000 ha soybean15028.5
0.17
20
1.5 t/ha; 19% oil (plus ~80% meal)
100,000 ha oil palm (mature)1,600352
2.16
244
~16 t fruit bunches/ha; ~22% oil; 5+ years to mature

India's imports: 16,300 kt (2024-25). Mozambique's crude edible oil imports: 144 kt a year (average of 1.3 million tonnes over 2015–2023). Click a column to sort.

Source: IAOM; FAOSTAT; AIM (May 2024); Economic Intelligence calculations.

Exhibit 8
Oil each scenario would produce, compared with Mozambique's own crude oil imports, thousand tonnes of oil

Source: Economic Intelligence calculations; see the table above for assumptions.

06 · Farm to ship

The route: Nampula, the Nacala corridor and the port

Nampula's advantage is geography. The province sits on the Nacala Development Corridor, with road and rail links running east to the Port of Nacala — Mozambique's deepest natural harbour — and west through Cuamba towards Malawi. Mozambique's soybean heartland around Gurué in Zambézia and the farmland of Niassa feed into the same network.

The port is growing. Nacala handled about 1.4 million tonnes in 2024, up from 1.3 million, passing 100,000 containers for the first time after its terminal upgrade, and expected about 1.8 million tonnes in 2025. Sesame is already one of its main exports. The question for the Joint Working Group is whether rural roads, storage and crushing capacity can keep up — not the quay itself.

Exhibit 9
The corridor on the map: Nampula, the farming belt and the road to Nacala
Provincial capital
Oilseed farming area
Processing
Export port

Positions are approximate. Click a marker or a layer in the legend to explore.

Source: Rural Voice (2026); IAOM (2025); CFM. Basemap © Esri, © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Exhibit 10
Port of Nacala cargo handled, million tonnes

Source: CFM (Ports and Railways of Mozambique) via Club of Mozambique (Dec 2024).

07 · What could go wrong

Land, lessons and the ProSAVANA shadow

The Nacala corridor has been here before. ProSAVANA, a Japanese-led agricultural development programme for the same region, faced resistance from peasant movements from 2012, lost a court case in 2018 and was formally terminated in July 2020 without completing its master plan. Farmers feared that large-scale commercial agriculture would push them off land they hold under customary rights.

The SEA–Nampula document appears written with that history in mind. Its safeguards promise smallholder empowerment, protection of land rights, careful water management and expansion only onto degraded or already converted land. Those are the right words; the test will be whether the feasibility studies are public and whether farmer organisations sit on the Joint Working Group.

Exhibit 11
Risk register for the corridor
Land conflictCustomary land rights; ProSAVANA ended after farmer oppositionOutgrower model; degraded land only; public studiesHigh
Low yieldsGroundnut at ~0.36 t/ha makes crushing uneconomicCertified seed, extension, input creditHigh
Single-buyer dependencePigeon-pea price crash of 2017 when India changed rulesSell oil at home and to India; cake to regionMedium
Rural logisticsFeeder roads and storage lag the portAggregation hubs on the rail lineMedium
Export policy shiftsMozambique has debated restricting raw oilseed exportsCrush locally; export oil and cakeMedium
Security in the northInsurgency in neighbouring Cabo DelgadoFocus on southern and western Nampula districtsMedium
Port capacityNacala volumes rising fastUse container and liquid-bulk terminals; book earlyLow

Source: Economic Intelligence analysis; Farmlandgrab (2020); AIM (2024).

08 · Making it pay

Five things that would make the corridor real

Crush in Nampula, not Mumbai

Exporting oil and oilcake rather than raw seed keeps value, jobs and poultry feed in Mozambique, and cuts the country's own import bill first.

Outgrowers, not plantations

Contract farming with seed, credit and a guaranteed buyer — the model behind cotton and tobacco — avoids the land conflicts that sank ProSAVANA.

Fix yields before acreage

Groundnut at 0.36 t/ha is a seed and extension problem. Doubling yields on existing farms beats clearing new land.

Learn from pigeon peas

India's tur dal deal shows the risk of a single buyer. Selling oil both at home and to India — and cake to the region — spreads the risk.

Use the sesame base

Sesame already has traders, a 50,000-tonne processing plant at Dondo and a working export channel through Nacala. It is the quickest proof of concept.
Exhibit 12
Opportunity screen for investors
Groundnut and sesame crushing millNampula city$3–10mMediumServes the domestic oil market first, India second
Certified seed and outgrower schemeRibáuè, Malema, Monapo$0.5–3mMediumYield gains are the cheapest new oil
Aggregation and storage hubsAlong the Nacala rail line$0.3–2mLowNeeded for traceable sourcing under the deal
Soy crushing for oil and poultry feedGurué / Cuamba$5–15mMediumTwo products, two markets
Liquid-bulk export and storagePort of Nacala$5–20mMediumOil exports need tanks, not just quays
Oil palm pilot on degraded landCoastal Nampula / Zambézia$10m+HighOnly route to India-scale volumes; long payback

Editorial assessment; ticket sizes are indicative for a first credible position.

Source: Economic Intelligence analysis.

09 · Timeline

What to watch

  • Jul 2020ProSAVANA formally terminated after years of opposition in the Nacala corridor.
  • Oct 2024India approves the ₹10,103-crore National Mission on Edible Oils – Oilseeds.
  • May 2026President Chapo attends the India–Africa Forum Summit in New Delhi.
  • 2 Oct 2026SEA and the Government of Nampula sign a three-year Statement of Interest at Globoil India, Mumbai.
  • Oct 2026Joint Working Group members due within 15 days of signing.
  • Q1 2027SEA member delegation visits Nampula farmland, infrastructure and the Port of Nacala.
  • 2027–2029Feasibility studies, pilot sourcing and any crushing investment decisions inside the three-year window.

The deal is small on paper and large in possibility. If it ends with an Indian-backed crushing plant in Nampula, outgrower schemes that raise smallholder yields, and oil sold both in Maputo and Mumbai, it will have done something the pigeon-pea trade never did: keep more of the value in Mozambique. If it ends with raw seed on ships and disputes over land, it will join a long list of corridor promises.

Sources

This report draws on 15 cited sources. View them in Sources cited in every report →